Should you draft Anthony Miller in your 2018 Fantasy Football draft?
He’s receiving rave reviews during training camp, and you can draft him in Round 13. At this point, you only need to consider the players you are passing on for him: Michael Gallup, Tyler Lockett, and Jordan Matthews.
You don’t need to worry about Matthews, and I’m not a big fan of Lockett as long as Doug Baldwin is healthy. I also like Miller more than Gallup because Ezekiel Elliott is the focal point of the offense for the Dallas Cowboys.
Again, it’s not a risky move to draft him in Round 13.
But what if he starts moving up the board and you have to draft him in Round 9 or Round 10?
Lets look at the rookie’s situation and competition entering the 2018 Fantasy Football season…
What to Consider Before Drafting Anthony Miller in 2018
Miller was drafted in Round 2 of the 2018 NFL Draft. He had an impressive final season at Memphis, posting a 96-1,462-18 stat line. Miller has been compared to Kendall Wright, who actually lead the Bears in targets (91) and receiving yards (614) receiving yards in 2017.
Anthony Miller’s Situation
In 2017, the Chicago Bears ranked 32nd in passing yards and only averaged 16.5 points per game.
There’s nowhere to go but up…
Mitchell Trubisky only averaged 182 passing yards per game last season, but we did see glimpses of why he was drafted in Round 1 of the 2017 NFL Draft. He threw for 297 yards against the Green Bay Packers in Week 10, and he recorded 314 yards against the Detroit Lions in Week 15.
Word out of camp is that Trubisky has been inconsistent, which is worth monitoring. It may take some time for the 23-year old quarterback to get adjusted to the new offense, which means the Fantasy production of his receivers could be inconsistent.
Of course, it’s still early.
There’s more than a month to practice before the Bears face the Packers on Sept. 9.
But what if things don’t gel this year?
That’s something you have to think about if you have to start drafting Miller in Round 9 or Round 10 because everyone starts thinking he’s a sleeper.
Anthony Miller’s Competition
This is a really interesting report that shows one of the reasons why the Bears drafted Miller. It also indicates that the rookie could make an immediate impact.
Allen Robinson or tight end Trey Burton should record the most red-zone targets on the team, as they are Trubisky’s biggest weapons.
But you shouldn’t solely focus on touchdowns if you’re drafting Miller. That’s because he’s most likely going to be starting out of the slot.
In 2016, 72.7% of Jarvis Landry’s snaps were out of the slot. That season, he posted a 94-1,136-4 stat line. That allowed him to finish in the top 20 at his position in Fantasy points.
I’m not saying Miller will post those kinds of numbers, but it shows he doesn’t need a lot of touchdowns to make a Fantasy impact.
I’m also interested to see how the Bears use Taylor Gabriel and whether it will cut into Miller’s targets. Different organizations have had a difficult time getting Gabriel consistently involved, but he is an explosive playmaker. With just 39 touches in 2016, he scored seven touchdowns for the Atlanta Falcons.
The Bottom Line on Anthony Miller
The rookie receiver has the talent to have a successful 2018 Fantasy campaign.
And because you can draft him in Round 13 right now, it’s not a risk to see what he has to offer.
He should absolutely be added to your roster now, especially in a MFL10.
But Trubisky’s development will play a big role in Miller’s season.
Keep that in mind if his ADP jumps and you have to decide whether to draft him over Allen Hurns or Marquise Goodwin.
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